Weekly Update 08/30/2009
Well, now that hurricane season is in full swing, we've had Ana, Bill, Claudette, and Danny. We might jst have Erika soon enough, there is a disturbed area of thunderstorms that is looking more organized with each tropical update.
The models are up in the air on Invest 94: 
Local Weather Meanwhile, back in Florida, temperatures this week will be in the low to mid 90s. Rain chances will be moderate, with scattered thunderstorms being the main threat. Tropical Storm Danny Forms In The Atlantic 08/26/2009
As you might have heard, Tropical Storm Danny has formed in the Atlantic. From the NHC: "AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.3 WEST OR ABOUT445 MILES...715 KM...EAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 775 MILES...1250 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ISEXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THENORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OFDAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KMMAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER."  Trouble Brewing In The Atlantic? 08/25/2009
There is a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic about 350 miles north of Puerto Rico, and from what the National Hurricane Center is saying, it could become a tropical depression at any time.
As of right now, it is moving to the west-northwest at 20 miles per hour. If you are planning a vacation in the Caribbean in the next few days, YOU NEED TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM! It will most likely be a tropical depression by the time the NHC releases their next update. Weekly Update 08/24/2009
Local Weather We will have a slight chance for rain each day this week, with daytime temperatures in the low to mid 90s. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sorry about the short post, but I'm really busy right now. I'll post more later this week. According to the National Climatic Data Center, ocean temps around the world are the highest they've ever been. The average water temperature worldwide was 62.6 degrees, which was 1.1 degree higher than the 20th century average, and beat the previous high set in 1998 by only a couple hundredths of a degree. The coolest recorded ocean temperature was 59.3 degrees, almost 100 years ago, way back in December 1909. Full Story Tropical Update 08/16/2009
Tropical Depression 4 formed off the coast of Florida last night. So now, there are three tropical entities currently in the Atlantic. Tropical Storms Ana and Bill, and TD 4. If Ana stays on it's current forecasted track, it should hit the Dominican Republic as a Tropical Storm and then die out over the Gulf Of Mexico. But seeing as how TD 4 formed when the NHC wasn't expecting it to, anything is possible. For all we know it could get out into the Gulf and then restrengthen into a monster hurricane and decimate the Gulf Coast. (Highly unlikely worst case scenario.) 
It is forecast to become a hurricane, but it does not look like it will impact land. That could always change though. Here is Bill current Forecasted track:
The National Hurricane Center's next update will be at 2:00 P.M. Weekly Update 08/15/2009
The weather for the rest of today and tomorrow will be influenced by a tropical wave that is passing to the south of Florida. Today's rain chances and tomorrow's chances will be high, with the main concern being heavy rain and possible minor flooding of lowland areas. We should see rain chances decrease on Monday, but only slightly. Temperatures will be H-O-T (at least by Florida standards, for the actual definition of HOT, go here*) again, with temps in the LOW TO MID 90s (OOOOH CHILLY). *Any Texans that are complaining about the heat in Texas, reconsider, those who live Phoenix have it much worse. With Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Depression #3 out in the Atlantic, I'd say that even though we've had a late start to Hurricane Season 2009, we should still be very wary of the tropics. Looking at climatology, we can see several things: 1. The peak of hurricane season is September 10th. 2 and 3. The main breeding grounds for hurricanes in August and September. 
Here are the current locations and forecasted tracks of Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Depression #3: 
It looks like if they stay on their current tracks, they might slam into South Florida.
Weekly Update 08/09/2009
Heat, heat, and more heat. That's what residents in Texas, Arizona, and many other states will have to deal with for another week. It won't matter who you use for your weather forecast this week if you live in one of these states, because they all say pretty much the same thng: IT'S GOING TO BE HOT! Local Weather Luckily, here in the Tampa Bay Area it will be seasonably warm, with temps in the low to mid 90s until Wednesday, when they will drop down into the low 80s. There will be a chance for isolated to scattered showers this week, but it shouldn't be too much of a concern. Weather In The News Typhoon Morakot struck China Tuesday is the 5 year anniversary of Hurricane Charley Updated Hurricane Outlook From NOAA 08/07/2009
NOAA has just released their updated hurricane season outlook. The main change from the May outlook is an increased probability of a below-normal season, and an expectation of fewer named storms and hurricanes. The May outlook called for nine to 14 named storms, of which four to seven could become hurricanes, including one to three major hurricanes. They are now predicting a 50 percent probability of a near-normal season, a 40 percent probability of a below-normal season, and a 10 percent probability of an above-normal season. Forecasters say there is a 70 percent chance of seven to 11 named storms, of which three to six could become hurricanes, including one to two major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5). Full Story Here Weekly Update 08/01/2009
With July over and August now in session, temperatures are still below average in the Northeast. We've had a ton of severe weather this week, with reports everywhere from Memphis to New Mexico. Locally, the weather will be seasonably hot and rainy. If you plan on going to any local beaches this week, be sure to check the forecast before you go and be sure to bring an umbrella, also, as the National Weather Service says: WHEN THUNDER ROARS, GO INDOORS. Lightning can strike up to twenty five miles out from the storm, so if you here thunder or see a storm, get to a safe area (cars are a good place, just don't be touching metal and if possible, stay away from windows). Rain chances will be moderate, with high temps in the low to mid 90s. Weather In The News Thursday, heat records were broken in the Northwest. |
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